Deutsche Bank warns of global ‘time bomb’ coming due to rising inflation


·         In an out-of-consensus forecast, Deutsche Bank is warning of a potential crisis coming from inflation.

·         “The effects could be devastating, particularly for the most vulnerable in society,” the firm’s economists said.

·         Most on Wall Street and at the Fed see inflation is a temporary problem that will ebb as special factors fade away.


Jeff Cox, CNBC

Jun 7 2021


Inflation may look like a problem that will go away, but is more likely to persist and lead to a crisis in the years ahead, according to a warning from Deutsche Bank economists.


In a forecast that is well outside the consensus from policymakers and Wall Street, Deutsche issued a dire warning that focusing on stimulus while dismissing inflation fears will prove to be a mistake if not in the near term then in 2023 and beyond.


The analysis especially points the finger at the Federal Reserve and its new framework in which it will tolerate higher inflation for the sake of a full and inclusive recovery. The firm contends that the Fed’s intention not to tighten policy until inflation shows a sustained rise will have dire impacts.


“The consequence of delay will be greater disruption of economic and financial activity than would be otherwise be the case when the Fed does finally act,” Deutsche’s chief economist, David Folkerts-Landau, and others wrote...


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