2021's top asset: Lean hogs


Dion Rabouin, Axios

Mar 30, 2021 


Thanks to declining production and bullish expectations for greater demand and more grocery shopping, prices of lean hogs are through the roof in 2021 and have become the world's top-performing major asset.


What's happening: Prices have risen by more than 60% over the past year, with the overwhelming majority of that growth taking place in 2021 (up 50% year to date), as the commodity has broken out since January.


·         Prices rose to their highest since Sept. 2014 last week and there's still room to run, experts say.


How it works: USDA recently revised its forecast of U.S. per capita pork consumption to 52.5 pounds per person for this year, the highest it has been since 1981.


·         Concurrently, USDA’s latest hogs and pigs report shows inventory down about 3% from last quarter and 1.8% from last March. That's the first March-over-March reduction since 2014, according to Jason Franken, agricultural economist at Western Illinois University.

·         “With continued strong grocery store demand and further prospects for restaurant re-openings as more U.S. citizens are vaccinated against COVID-19, the market looks promising,” Franken tells the Farm Journal.


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