The EU Investment Deal With China Means the US Can’t Trust Brussels
By Kenneth Rapoza, Coalition for a Prosperous America (CPA)
January 08, 2021
The European Union's bilateral investment treaty with China is an example of how a key ally really isn't going to put itself in a position to have to choose between Washington and Beijing.
The European Union signed what amounts to a bilateral investment treaty (BIT) with China on December 30. Little is known about the details as it is still going through a “legal scrubbing”. Despite that, it has been mostly panned on this side of the Atlantic. Or called a boon for China. What does it mean for the US?
Europe has opted to go it alone, just as the incoming Biden Administration has been saying for months that it wants to work with allies, of which the EU is the most important. But this agreement demonstrates that EU interests are not US national interests.
“EU wants strategic autonomy, and not to follow the US,” says Michael Stumo, CEO of CPA. “But they want our security guarantee on Russia via NATO. The EU has demonstrated that it can’t be trusted to want the right thing on China. Their business class pushes through the agreement despite China’s abuses in Hong Kong, Uyghur concentration camps, military aggression and other human rights violations.”
The president of European Chamber of Commerce, Joerg Wuttke, said of the bilateral investment treaty, “We managed to get through the door” in China.
New National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan is cold to the idea of a BIT with China signed by the Europeans. Sullivan told CNN in an interview over the weekend that Biden’s goal to meet with his European counterparts early to “work out a common agenda regarding Chinese trade practices.”
Sullivan, who is considered a China hawk, or at least skeptical of China as a good-actor in terms of trade practices, says that the new Administration’s goal is to talk with the EU “right away” and “end the multi-front trade war.”
That could mean tariffs coming off on any European goods, home to our second largest trade deficit, but keeping them on China. Europe will surely ask for tariffs to be removed if Washington wants it to play ball against Beijing. Overcapacity from Europe (led by Germany) as well as China has harmed our domestic industries. Giving away the tariffs in return for no protection for US workers would be problematic for Biden’s Build Back Better goals.
It was European officials themselves who described the deal as part of their pursuit of “strategic autonomy” from Washington, a policy pushed by President Emmanuel Macron of France that may have been better understood in a Trump second term than in a Biden first term. Biden has come forward almost instantly asking to play nice.
Although details about the BIT with China are unknown, it implicitly assumes that China will comply, which the last 20 years of Beijing noncompliance belies. The US has tons of BITs with countries around the world. These are conducted by the State Department. They give countries rules on what their home corporations can buy into in each respective nation, and which body will handle the dispute settlement should an investor lawsuit pop up. The World Bank’s International Center for Settlement of Investment Disputes handles a lot of these, for example.
For EU corporates, the idea that they can invest in China – perhaps without requiring a local partner – is interesting. But China has promised these things before...
... “The EU thinks China will comply with an agreement despite 20 years of evidence otherwise,” says Stumo...