[Mon]: Census data showed 261.25 million pounds of U.S. beef exports in August. That was down 9.4% from last year and 4.5% lower than July shipments, according to Brugler Marketing & Management… [Fri]: Boxed beef cutout values this afternoon were steady to weak… Boxed beef cutout values this afternoon were steady to weak… Select went down 29 cents… In negotiated cash sales in Nebraska, the USDA reported 15,289 head sold dressed at $165-171, with live sales coming in at 1,974 head in a range of $107-109. In Iowa/Minnesota, 4,313 head were sold live at $104-109, and 3,897 head were sold dressed at $164-170… “Despite elements of fundamental weakness, there was solid cash trade reported today 3.00 to 4.00 higher than last week’s cash trade,” Stewart-Peterson said. “This is a very supportive trend, which should keep the bears on their toes”…
Farm Commodity Newsletter/Iowa Farmer Today
Mon 10/7/2019 8:35 AM
Cattle - The year 2019 has delivered mostly stable prices for replacement cattle with a narrow trading range for the year. Feeder Futures have not mirrored the stable prices and have been fairly volatile driven by abnormal event like the floods troubling the corn crop and the Tyson fire, according to The Cattle Report. Selecting the time to move in and out of the replacement market has been tricky.
Census data showed 261.25 million pounds of U.S. beef exports in August. That was down 9.4% from last year and 4.5% lower than July shipments, according to Brugler Marketing & Management. The Commitment of Traders report on Friday afternoon showed managed money had flipped their position from net short to net long 5,887 contracts in cattle futures by Tuesday evening.
Vegan warns of meat substitute quality
The Cattle Report said that the interest in both Beyond Meat and Impossible Foods has exploded. The market for meat substitutes is expected to hit $2.5 billion by 2023, according to Euromonitor estimates. But John Mackey, who has been a vegan for more than 20 years, raises serious questions about the health benefits of plant-based meats because they are highly processed.
The state of California was sued by the North American Meat Institute, one of the largest U.S. trade group for meat packers and processors, which wants to block enforcement of a voter-approved measure requiring farmers to provide more space for animals being raised for food, according to Allendale.
Fri 10/4/2019 4:18 PM
Boxed beef cutout values this afternoon were steady to weak on light to moderate demand and offerings, USDA said.
Choice fell 10 cents to $211.96/cwt.
Select went down 29 cents to $186.92.
In negotiated cash sales in Nebraska, the USDA reported 15,289 head sold dressed at $165-171, with live sales coming in at 1,974 head in a range of $107-109. In Iowa/Minnesota, 4,313 head were sold live at $104-109, and 3,897 head were sold dressed at $164-170.
Today’s trade saw the December live contract hit its highest point since Aug. 9. After hitting that point, the contract closed slightly lower, which The Hightower Report called a “bearish technical development.”
“Despite elements of fundamental weakness, there was solid cash trade reported today 3.00 to 4.00 higher than last week’s cash trade,” Stewart-Peterson said. “This is a very supportive trend, which should keep the bears on their toes.”
Hogs recover, but still close lower
The hog market saw some sharply lower trade early on the day to close lower despite a recovery of nearly a dollar by the end of the day. The close for December hogs is its lowest point since Sept. 20.
Livestock slaughter was slightly down for cattle this week, with this week’s estimated number at 639,000 head, down 9,000 from last week. Hogs were up nearly 23,000 head, coming in at 2.669 mln head.
Biofuels announcement doesn't move needle
The big headline of the day was President Trump’s “pledge to increase the use of biofuels after the first of the year,” Ami L. Heesch of CHS Hedging said.
News was otherwise quiet today in the markets, Heesch said, as traders prepared for a wet and cool weekend ahead. “The focus next week is expected to be on position squaring ahead of Thursday’s USDA Supply and Demand report at 11 a.m.,” she said.
Despite the biofuels news, corn prices still drifted lower today, Ami L. Heesch of CHS Hedging said. Traders took profits ahead of the weekend and ahead of Monday’s harvest update, while a lack of demand is still pressuring markets.
Seth Miller this is a good time to focus on marketing plans for farmers. “We have an opportunity here in the 2020 complex … and do something,” he said. “10% of production in both of those commodities need to be had.” He said both corn and soybeans might be profitable at the moment.
Seth Miller of Andersons Grain said soybeans didn’t see too much of a change in the updated Informa numbers compared to the USDA, which didn’t impact prices. Soybean yield was expected at 46.5 bushels per acre, about one lower than the USDA.
That drop in yield helped give some support to the soybean market today ahead of an expected wet weekend in the Midwest, ADM Investor Services said. “Temps could be below normal,” they said. “This could slow harvest. The potential drop in the US crop could support prices.”
Short covering ahead of the weekend was mixed in with higher technical trade, Ami L. Heesch said. The expectation remains that the U.S. and Japan trade agreement is not expected to begin until the first of the year.
“Wheat remains a follower,” ADM Investor Services said. “Trade is not looking for a lot of changes to US and World wheat numbers on their October 10 report.”