In this file:
· Chinese pork production seen expanding again after 2020 -U.N. FAO/OECD
· China reports new African swine fever outbreak
· China says swine fever to cut pork production 10-15% this year
Chinese pork production seen expanding again after 2020 -U.N. FAO/OECD
Reporting by Gus Trompiz, editing by Louise Heavens, Reuters
July 8, 2019
PARIS, July 8 (Reuters) - Pork production in China is expected to expand again after 2020 to meet robust long-term demand, as the country recovers from a deadly pig disease that is set to hit local supply and lead to a spike in imports this year, the FAO and OECD said on Monday.
However, there was considerable uncertainty over the medium term of African swine fever, which was seen as more difficult to manage than the spread of the fall armyworm crop pest in China and other parts of Asia, the United Nations’ Food and Agriculture Organization and the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development said in their Agricultural Outlook for 2019-2028.
China, the world’s largest pork producer, is grappling with African swine fever, which has spread across much of the country in the past year. There is no cure or vaccine for the disease, which is often fatal for pigs although harmless for humans.
Chinese pork output was projected to fall 5% this year, while imports were forecast to rise to almost 2 million tonnes from an average 1.6 million tonnes per year in 2016-2018, the FAO and OECD said in their annual report.
Chinese tariffs against U.S. supplies as of a trade dispute should benefit demand for imports from Brazil, Canada and the European Union, they said.
Other observers have projected a steeper fall in Chinese pork production as herds are culled and given suspicions that cases are being under-reported. The authorities have said output is now recovering.
Both production and consumption of pork in China were projected to...
China reports new African swine fever outbreak
via Independent (Ireland) - July 8 2019
China’s southwestern region of Guangxi has confirmed a new outbreak of African swine fever, the agriculture ministry said over the weekend.
The new outbreak has killed 1 pig and infected 42 more on a farm in Guigang city, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs said in a statement on its website.
It was the second report of an African swine fever outbreak in the Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region in a week.
China has reported 144 outbreaks of the incurable disease since August last year, and culled almost 1.2m pigs.
China says swine fever to cut pork production 10-15% this year
China Economic Review
July 08, 2019
China’s Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs said that China, the world’s largest pork consumer, can expect a 10% to 15% drop in pork production this year, as the deadly African swine fever reduces domestic herds and tightens meat supply, reported Caixin.
Xin Guochang, an executive officer at the Ministry of Agriculture, made the remarks Thursday at a press conference in Beijing. However, the government’s estimate of the decline in pork production is seen as too conservative by many industry insiders and analysts. Li Changlong, head of the China Meat Association, predicts pork production will drop 15% to 20% this year. Others expect a drop of as much as 40%, he said.
There is currently no vaccine...